Entrepreneurial Proverbs

Tim Draper recently sent me this great post from Marc Hedlund at O’Reilly on Entrepreneurial Proverbs.   Lot of great advice summarized here (including from Chicago’s own Jason Fried).

Starting

  • It’s good to be king — being an entrepreneur is the best
    job I’ve had. Every day your job is new and different; you constantly
    have to push yourself in new directions. You no longer have to say,
    "Well, I’m just an engineer, but…" — you have a great excuse to take
    an interest in everything. Working in an environment you shaped to your
    own beliefs about how a company should be run is incredible (and
    humbling!). And of course there are sometimes financial rewards,
    although it’s still a great job regardless.
  • Losing sucks — shutting down a company is unbelievably
    difficult. It affects your home life, your health, your job prospects,
    your financial stability. Professional investors are grown-ups, but
    it’s still extremely disheartening to lose the money people invested
    based on belief in you. If your backers include friends or family, it’s
    extremely difficult to have to tell them the company is closing and
    their money is gone. Most entrepreneurs fail several times before
    succeeding, too, so losing is both terrible and nearly inevitable.
    Fight as hard as you can against it.
  • Building to flip is building to flop — this is taken from Jason Fried,
    and he’s right. People who start out with only one goal, to sell to a
    big portal, will find their options are too limited. Plan as many paths
    to success as possible for your company, and always have a Plan B when
    acquisition (or whatever path you choose first) doesn’t work.
  • Prudence becomes procrastination — it’s great to research
    your market and talk to potential buyers about your ideas. It’s
    terrible to let an excess of this become a impediment to getting
    started. Too much prudence edges away from research and into
    procrastination.
  • Momentum builds on itself — just start. Do whatever you
    can. Draw a user interface. Write a spec. Make something, anything,
    that people can see and touch and try. A prototype is worth ten
    thousand words. Once you start moving, you will find that people start
    to carry you along.
  • Jump when you are more excited than afraid — lack of fear
    is irrational, and too much fear is debilitating. Make the jump into
    your business when you have considered the fear, and come out more
    excited than afraid.

The Idea

  • Pay attention to the idea that won’t leave you alone — this is taken from Paul Hawken’s Growing a Business.
    Sometimes an idea catches hold of you and you find you can’t put it
    down. Pay attention to that! Just start working on it. Can’t get
    yourself to do anything on it? Move on. Find yourself waking up out of
    bed to write down new ideas about it? That’s a good one to choose.
  • If you keep your secrets from the market, the market will keep its secrets from you
    — entrepreneurs too often worry about keeping their brilliant secrets
    locked away; we should all worry much more about springing a surprise
    on a disinterested market (anyone remember the Segway?). To quote Howard Aiken: "Don’t worry about people stealing an idea. If it’s original, you will have to ram it down their throats."
  • Immediate yes is immediate no — does everyone immediately
    tell you your idea is great? Run away from it. If the idea is that
    obvious, the market will be filled with competitors, and you’ll find
    yourself scrambling. One good test: when the New York Times Magazine
    puts out its annual "Year in Ideas" issue, is your idea in it?  Then don’t do it.  You’re already too late.
  • Build what you know — this is the most basic advice of idea
    generation: scratch an itch you have yourself. To make a great company,
    stop and ensure that your need is broadly felt, and that your solution
    is broadly applicable — not everyone spends their life in front of a
    computer, remember.
  • Give people what they need, not what they say they need
    interviews are tricky. People will swear up and down that they would
    buy a product you describe if only it were available, and then fail to
    do so as soon as it is. Likewise, in conversation an idea can sound
    terrible, but in actualization the idea can become a compelling
    product. You have to sherlock out the truth of the interest people
    express, and "yes/no" questions are usually less useful than "how much"
    or "how bad" questions.
  • Your ideas will get better the more you know about business — engineers hate to hear this, but you can generalize up quite far from here: the more you know about everything, the better all
    of your ideas will get! If you want to start a business and your
    strength is in development, learning about pricing, sales, marketing,
    finance, and yes, even HR, all of it will make your product ideas
    stronger and better.

People

  • Three is fine; two, divine — having too many co-founders
    makes decisions hard to reach; if you’re on your own, you have to bear
    all of the stress and worry about the success of the company. In my
    judgment, three people can do well together, but having two founders is
    best.
  • Work only with people you like and believe in — I once heard Eric Schmidt
    say something along the lines of, "The older I get, the more I think
    all that matters is working with people you like." If you’re smart and
    talented, you’re probably going to like a lot of smart and talented
    people. Working with people you like is so much more fun, and often
    more productive, than fighting against someone who may be smart and
    talented but just isn’t a great fit for you.
  • Work with people who like and believe in you, just naturally
    — maybe you are very persuasive, and can talk people into working with
    you against their better instincts. Especially for co-founders and
    early employees, don’t try that hard. Find the people that naturally
    want to work with you, and nudge them into the roles where you need
    them. You’ll have more fun and get more done.
  • Great things are made by people who share a passion, not by those who have been talked into one — a corollary of the last; you can spark a passion in someone, but you can’t do it without some
    fuel to catch. Better to wait, and find the person who is already
    inclined to believe in your cause. You may talk someone into
    co-founding a company with you, but will they stick with it through ups
    and downs if they had to be persuaded that hard?

Product

  • Cool ideas are useless without great needs — this is the
    classic engineers’ entrepreneurial mistake (or at least I’d like to
    think so, since I’ve made it). Techies love tech, and a new technology
    can produce a lot of companies that don’t really meet a need. Better to
    start with the need, and then see how what you know can produce a
    better answer to that need. (Marketers tend to have the opposite
    problem: real, pressing needs with completely unworkable solutions.)
  • Build the simplest thing possible — engineers have the
    hardest time with this, with not overdesigning for the need they’re
    addressing. Make the simplest possible product that makes a significant
    dent in that need, and you’ll do far better than you would addressing
    two or three needs at once. Simplicity leads to clarity in everything
    you do.
  • Solve problems, not potential problems — you can waste a
    lot of money implementing solutions for problems you don’t have yet,
    and may never have. Work on the biggest, most pressing problems today,
    and put aside everything else.
  • Test everything with real people — it’s unbelievable how
    helpful this is. Go find civilians, real people who use computers
    because they have to and not because they love to. Find them in
    Starbucks, or at the library, or in a college computer lab. Give them
    $20 for 20 minutes, and you’ll be paid back a hundred times over.

Money

  • Start with nothing, and have nothing for as long as possible
    — small budgets give big focus (probably another line I’m stealing
    from Jason Fried: it sounds like something he’d say…) Don’t go out
    and raise a ton of money right away. Instead, give yourself just enough
    to get going, and use the limits that imposes to motivate yourself.
  • The best investor pitches are plainspoken and entertaining (not in that order)
    — think about what this implies. A plainspoken pitch is the surface of
    a very solid business. If you have to fudge and lie to get investors
    interested, why is that? If you’re running a great business, it is not
    hard at all to lure investors into it; the worse your business, the
    bigger (and more odious) your fundraising task is. Entertaining implies
    a fun person to work with, and VCs like working with people they like
    as much as the rest of us do. If you don’t bring the funny, bring the
    person who brings the funny.
  • Never let on that you’re keeping a secret — telling an
    investor "I don’t want to talk about that" is terrible. It’s the
    natural converse of being plainspoken. It’s good to be aware, though,
    that some potential investors will listen to you and then share your
    information with your direct comptitors, and not always because they’re
    invested in those comptetitors. Knowing that, you have to keep some
    secrets — but be as diplomatic about that as possible. Respond to the
    idea behind the question, without giving away more than you feel
    comfortable discussing. Learn to steer the conversation in the way you
    want it to go. And then give up more information as you become more
    comfortable with the potential investor.
  • No means maybe and yes means maybe — you should never take
    a "no" from someone you want to work with. Accept the no, ask for
    feedback, and then just keep sending them updates on how much butt
    you’re kicking in the market. During one company, three of the five
    term sheets I collected came from VC firms that told me "no"
    originally. Conversely, though, the only money in the bank is actual
    money actually in the bank. Everything else is just a possibility, and
    you have to treat it as such. Don’t stop fundraising until you have a
    firm commitment for the funding you need, and don’t accept halfway
    promises like, "We’ll fund you if another firm comes in." Keep on
    driving until the wire transfer is complete.
  • For investors, the product is nothing — the classic
    engineer’s VC pitch has ten slides about the product and two about the
    academic achievements of the founders. That’s a terrible pitch. One
    slide should be about the product, while the rest cover the market,
    competitors, financials, funding history, and the relevant experience
    of the team. The product matters far less to most investors than the
    reactions of customers, the properties of the market, and the
    credibility of the team. Obsess about the product on your own time;
    present your business in all of its parts.
  • The best way to get investment is not to need it*
    — if you have a running business with real customers and you’re paying
    all your bills, you are much more likely to get a funding round than if
    you need the round in order to survive or succeed. The pitch that goes,
    "We could accelerate our growth with more money" is much more
    compelling than, "I need your money or our doors will close."

Entrepreneurial Proverbs

Tim Draper recently sent me this great post from Marc Hedlund at O’Reilly on Entrepreneurial Proverbs.   Lot of great advice summarized here (including from Chicago’s own Jason Fried).

Starting

  • It’s good to be king — being an entrepreneur is the best
    job I’ve had. Every day your job is new and different; you constantly
    have to push yourself in new directions. You no longer have to say,
    "Well, I’m just an engineer, but…" — you have a great excuse to take
    an interest in everything. Working in an environment you shaped to your
    own beliefs about how a company should be run is incredible (and
    humbling!). And of course there are sometimes financial rewards,
    although it’s still a great job regardless.
  • Losing sucks — shutting down a company is unbelievably
    difficult. It affects your home life, your health, your job prospects,
    your financial stability. Professional investors are grown-ups, but
    it’s still extremely disheartening to lose the money people invested
    based on belief in you. If your backers include friends or family, it’s
    extremely difficult to have to tell them the company is closing and
    their money is gone. Most entrepreneurs fail several times before
    succeeding, too, so losing is both terrible and nearly inevitable.
    Fight as hard as you can against it.
  • Building to flip is building to flop — this is taken from Jason Fried,
    and he’s right. People who start out with only one goal, to sell to a
    big portal, will find their options are too limited. Plan as many paths
    to success as possible for your company, and always have a Plan B when
    acquisition (or whatever path you choose first) doesn’t work.
  • Prudence becomes procrastination — it’s great to research
    your market and talk to potential buyers about your ideas. It’s
    terrible to let an excess of this become a impediment to getting
    started. Too much prudence edges away from research and into
    procrastination.
  • Momentum builds on itself — just start. Do whatever you
    can. Draw a user interface. Write a spec. Make something, anything,
    that people can see and touch and try. A prototype is worth ten
    thousand words. Once you start moving, you will find that people start
    to carry you along.
  • Jump when you are more excited than afraid — lack of fear
    is irrational, and too much fear is debilitating. Make the jump into
    your business when you have considered the fear, and come out more
    excited than afraid.

The Idea

  • Pay attention to the idea that won’t leave you alone — this is taken from Paul Hawken’s Growing a Business.
    Sometimes an idea catches hold of you and you find you can’t put it
    down. Pay attention to that! Just start working on it. Can’t get
    yourself to do anything on it? Move on. Find yourself waking up out of
    bed to write down new ideas about it? That’s a good one to choose.
  • If you keep your secrets from the market, the market will keep its secrets from you
    — entrepreneurs too often worry about keeping their brilliant secrets
    locked away; we should all worry much more about springing a surprise
    on a disinterested market (anyone remember the Segway?). To quote Howard Aiken: "Don’t worry about people stealing an idea. If it’s original, you will have to ram it down their throats."
  • Immediate yes is immediate no — does everyone immediately
    tell you your idea is great? Run away from it. If the idea is that
    obvious, the market will be filled with competitors, and you’ll find
    yourself scrambling. One good test: when the New York Times Magazine
    puts out its annual "Year in Ideas" issue, is your idea in it?  Then don’t do it.  You’re already too late.
  • Build what you know — this is the most basic advice of idea
    generation: scratch an itch you have yourself. To make a great company,
    stop and ensure that your need is broadly felt, and that your solution
    is broadly applicable — not everyone spends their life in front of a
    computer, remember.
  • Give people what they need, not what they say they need
    interviews are tricky. People will swear up and down that they would
    buy a product you describe if only it were available, and then fail to
    do so as soon as it is. Likewise, in conversation an idea can sound
    terrible, but in actualization the idea can become a compelling
    product. You have to sherlock out the truth of the interest people
    express, and "yes/no" questions are usually less useful than "how much"
    or "how bad" questions.
  • Your ideas will get better the more you know about business — engineers hate to hear this, but you can generalize up quite far from here: the more you know about everything, the better all
    of your ideas will get! If you want to start a business and your
    strength is in development, learning about pricing, sales, marketing,
    finance, and yes, even HR, all of it will make your product ideas
    stronger and better.

People

  • Three is fine; two, divine — having too many co-founders
    makes decisions hard to reach; if you’re on your own, you have to bear
    all of the stress and worry about the success of the company. In my
    judgment, three people can do well together, but having two founders is
    best.
  • Work only with people you like and believe in — I once heard Eric Schmidt
    say something along the lines of, "The older I get, the more I think
    all that matters is working with people you like." If you’re smart and
    talented, you’re probably going to like a lot of smart and talented
    people. Working with people you like is so much more fun, and often
    more productive, than fighting against someone who may be smart and
    talented but just isn’t a great fit for you.
  • Work with people who like and believe in you, just naturally
    — maybe you are very persuasive, and can talk people into working with
    you against their better instincts. Especially for co-founders and
    early employees, don’t try that hard. Find the people that naturally
    want to work with you, and nudge them into the roles where you need
    them. You’ll have more fun and get more done.
  • Great things are made by people who share a passion, not by those who have been talked into one — a corollary of the last; you can spark a passion in someone, but you can’t do it without some
    fuel to catch. Better to wait, and find the person who is already
    inclined to believe in your cause. You may talk someone into
    co-founding a company with you, but will they stick with it through ups
    and downs if they had to be persuaded that hard?

Product

  • Cool ideas are useless without great needs — this is the
    classic engineers’ entrepreneurial mistake (or at least I’d like to
    think so, since I’ve made it). Techies love tech, and a new technology
    can produce a lot of companies that don’t really meet a need. Better to
    start with the need, and then see how what you know can produce a
    better answer to that need. (Marketers tend to have the opposite
    problem: real, pressing needs with completely unworkable solutions.)
  • Build the simplest thing possible — engineers have the
    hardest time with this, with not overdesigning for the need they’re
    addressing. Make the simplest possible product that makes a significant
    dent in that need, and you’ll do far better than you would addressing
    two or three needs at once. Simplicity leads to clarity in everything
    you do.
  • Solve problems, not potential problems — you can waste a
    lot of money implementing solutions for problems you don’t have yet,
    and may never have. Work on the biggest, most pressing problems today,
    and put aside everything else.
  • Test everything with real people — it’s unbelievable how
    helpful this is. Go find civilians, real people who use computers
    because they have to and not because they love to. Find them in
    Starbucks, or at the library, or in a college computer lab. Give them
    $20 for 20 minutes, and you’ll be paid back a hundred times over.

Money

  • Start with nothing, and have nothing for as long as possible
    — small budgets give big focus (probably another line I’m stealing
    from Jason Fried: it sounds like something he’d say…) Don’t go out
    and raise a ton of money right away. Instead, give yourself just enough
    to get going, and use the limits that imposes to motivate yourself.
  • The best investor pitches are plainspoken and entertaining (not in that order)
    — think about what this implies. A plainspoken pitch is the surface of
    a very solid business. If you have to fudge and lie to get investors
    interested, why is that? If you’re running a great business, it is not
    hard at all to lure investors into it; the worse your business, the
    bigger (and more odious) your fundraising task is. Entertaining implies
    a fun person to work with, and VCs like working with people they like
    as much as the rest of us do. If you don’t bring the funny, bring the
    person who brings the funny.
  • Never let on that you’re keeping a secret — telling an
    investor "I don’t want to talk about that" is terrible. It’s the
    natural converse of being plainspoken. It’s good to be aware, though,
    that some potential investors will listen to you and then share your
    information with your direct comptitors, and not always because they’re
    invested in those comptetitors. Knowing that, you have to keep some
    secrets — but be as diplomatic about that as possible. Respond to the
    idea behind the question, without giving away more than you feel
    comfortable discussing. Learn to steer the conversation in the way you
    want it to go. And then give up more information as you become more
    comfortable with the potential investor.
  • No means maybe and yes means maybe — you should never take
    a "no" from someone you want to work with. Accept the no, ask for
    feedback, and then just keep sending them updates on how much butt
    you’re kicking in the market. During one company, three of the five
    term sheets I collected came from VC firms that told me "no"
    originally. Conversely, though, the only money in the bank is actual
    money actually in the bank. Everything else is just a possibility, and
    you have to treat it as such. Don’t stop fundraising until you have a
    firm commitment for the funding you need, and don’t accept halfway
    promises like, "We’ll fund you if another firm comes in." Keep on
    driving until the wire transfer is complete.
  • For investors, the product is nothing — the classic
    engineer’s VC pitch has ten slides about the product and two about the
    academic achievements of the founders. That’s a terrible pitch. One
    slide should be about the product, while the rest cover the market,
    competitors, financials, funding history, and the relevant experience
    of the team. The product matters far less to most investors than the
    reactions of customers, the properties of the market, and the
    credibility of the team. Obsess about the product on your own time;
    present your business in all of its parts.
  • The best way to get investment is not to need it*
    — if you have a running business with real customers and you’re paying
    all your bills, you are much more likely to get a funding round than if
    you need the round in order to survive or succeed. The pitch that goes,
    "We could accelerate our growth with more money" is much more
    compelling than, "I need your money or our doors will close."

Pandora’s Box

Search on the web is in a lot of pain right now. Content, including enormous amounts of user generated videos, audio files and test, is exploding at an exponential rate. There are over 31 millions blogs, including this one, growing at 70,000 per day. I don’t know about any of you, but I have grown increasingly disappointed with the search results I am getting from the engines. It has become particularly poor in the past 6 months.

The beauty of Web 2.0, the social web, is that anyone can have a
voice on the internet. There is almost no friction to creating and
publishing text, video and audio. A number of companies, like Revver, Tagworld…disclosure: both affiliated portfolio companies…, Myspaces, Flickr and Veoh, democratize the creation, publication and promotion of media. Blogs give the individual voice. They also are giving the search engines headaches.

The next generation of search solutions is attacking this problem from different angles. Strategies range from collaborative tagging approaches like del.icio.us to hybrid algorithmic/tagging technologies like Wink. In each case, they are trying to add intelligence to the process, often supplied by human intervention versus automated indexing using spiders.

One service I love is Pandora. It does an incredible job digging into the "musical DNA" of a given song or genre and intelligently picks similar songs for listening. It does a much better job than any other preferential technology or service I have come across. Its developers have analyzed over 400,000 songs from
15,000 artists and categorized them across 400 musical
traits. Scaling the Pandora model has taken significant effort since much of the cataloging is done by their trained listeners. Brian Quinton has a great posting that describes the Pandora service.

Riya is another amazing company. Once you have uploaded your photos to its site, using facial recognition technology, it will auto-tag/identify individuals in your photographs. While Pandora leverages a "man in the loop", Riya’s technology is automated. It has an incredibly impressive hit rate.

People are eagerly embracing the next wave of the internet and the self-expression it brings. However, they are also crying out for better solutions to help them find what they want, when they want it. There are going to be significant opportunities for companies that can bring intelligence and relevance back to the search process. It looks like Pandora’s Box has been opened.

Live and Let Die

A friend of mine, Jed White, recently asked on a post a great question. When do you pull the plug on an investment and walk away. He is has a blog at http://spaces.msn.com/myelectricmayhem/

Hi Matt, great to see you in the blogosphere!  I’m also
writing a blog, which occassionally concerns the difficulty of being a
young entrepreneur in the midwest: 

But your post today brings up a different issue.  How do
entrepreneurs know when to pull the plug?  Is it "never say die", or
are there some more rational markers that would suggest even to Steve
Case or Steve Jobs that enough is enough?

My partner, Ed, has always said that it is hard to kill a company. It is not often that one wakes up and realizes that a recent deal was a mistake and shuts it down. Companies and management are resilient, and often, if faced with a dire situation, dig deep, drop the burn and can muscle their way forward for some time before either succeeding, getting sold or going out of business. VC’s, loath to take the financial and emotional hit, will generally work with the company to push off the day of reckoning. But why?

You try to keep a company alive until the market turns in your favor. I would argue that the number one macro factor that determines success is market acceptance and readiness. It is very difficult to predict when a market turns (remember "right product, wrong decade"), and, in fact, it is usually not until a company has landed a few customers that one can determine a trend. Until this happens, you are best off dropping your burn dramatically while accelerating the number of product/service permutations to see which work or don’t.

A company that can get its cash burn down, can be the master of its own fate. It can usually pull together small amounts of capital to stay alive while it experiments and waits for the market to turn. Investors, however, are best off setting short-term milestones for the company (e.g. landing a pilot, getting a beta launched, closing 3 deals in a given vertical, etc). This is the only way an investor can get feedback that the company is or is not making progress.

When do we pull the plug on a deal? When we lose confidence in both the market opportunity, and more importantly, the team. A good team will find a way to reorient the company in a new direction. A bad team will complain that they do not have enough capital, it is not their fault and that they need more options or salary to make it worth their while. A decisive team that proactively takes aggressive action to stretch out its runway (and acknowledges its dire reality) will engender confidence in its investor group. If things are going poorly and the team can not show any kind of credible vision, the investor has a very difficult decision to make. If the company is also burning considerable cash, then this usually seals its unfortunate fate. It is the failure to attract third party capital (read validation) that often deals the company a death blow.

Resilience is a key factor in the venture business. I have been amazed by how often teams manage to survive. They will say that they can not manage the business with less than 50 people and a $600k budget. However, as things get dire, they somehow manage to get the budget down to $300k and 20 people, stabilize the business and then ramp it on the other side. Never, say never and recognize your reality early…

Emmanuel’s Gift

Jim Clark once said that great companies are not built, but rather willed into existence. Clark knows a few things about this, as he is the co-founder of Silicon Graphics, Netscape, myCFO and Healtheon/WebMD. Progress is never linear, and often, successful companies flirt with death before grabbing the golden ring. AOL nearly went under on several occasions, and survived only because of Steve Case’s determination. Look at Steven Jobs’ role in Apple’s rebirth. Entrepreneurs should never underestimate the power one person has in driving success.

Along this line, I just saw a very inspiring and touching movie tonight called Emmanuel’s Gift. It has won many festival awards and can be rented at Blockbuster. It is a great movie to see with your kids. Emmanuel was born disabled in a small town in Ghana. The disabled in Ghana are ostracized as many view it as a curse from God. Many of the disabled eventually resort to a life of begging. Rather than following this path, he decides to ride a bicycle with only one leg across Ghana in order to change the country’s perspective of the disabled. He now travels the world, speaking with world leaders and celebrities about the cause of the handicapped in Africa.

What struck me as amazing about this story is that a boy, born in an impoverished village in Ghana, abandoned by his father and orphaned by his mother, could rise up to become a global figure for change.  Through his actions, he  has affected the lives of over 10% of his country. (Yes 1 in 10 children born in Ghana are disabled!) It reinforces why I love venture capital. It shows that small companies, small groups of people can have an enormous impact on the world. Our job is to figure out which opportunities and which entrepreneurs have the potential to do this.

Sweet Home Chicago

Regional investing is the topic of many a venture debate. If you are outside the Bay or Boston areas, why even bother?  Being a VC from Chicago, I get to hear a variety of jokes from my Valley peers. Have I seen any good meat packing deals lately? Can we leverage the Mob to help a portfolio company close a sale? You can figure out the others. Other regions take similar stereotypical ribbing. My partners and I draw even more stares from people when we tell them that after 27 years of successful investing nationally, we have chosen to focus almost exclusively on the Midwest region.

There has been a great deal written about why the Midwest has not exploded given the wealth of resources here. Other regions have had similar amounts of ink spent. Shannon Clark wrote about this a short while ago in his post "Why I moved to Berkeley, a reaction to the Great Chicago Tech Debate". There have been even more initiatives and studies about how to kick start things here, including what can government do (McKinsey, AT Kearney, etc). Despite all of this, we remain more confident than ever that this is one of the great, untapped venture markets in the US. Why?

Let me give you a personal example and then expand from there. I grew up in La Jolla. When I was young, you were either in the Navy or in real estate if you lived in San Diego. There was lots of sage brush, but no biotech firms to be seen anywhere. Today, San Diego is arguably one of the top three biotech hubs in the world with hundreds of biotech firms. What happened? The simpliest answer is Hybritech. Hybritech was purchased by Eli Lilly and its founders took their new found wealth and started a variety of new companies like La Jolla Pharmaceutical. These firms succeeded and spun off and so on and so on until you had a massive biotech industry. Of course, the 75 degrees every day does not hurt either. Boulder had similar experience in storage when IBM located their storage operations there.

VC’s live or die based upon the timing of their investments hitting the inflection curve. There is the old saying about backing the right product in the wrong decade. So, in essence, we are making a bet not only on our portfolio companies here hitting the curve, but also on the region doing so. What metrics or guidelines do we use in judging where this region is on the curve? We have one simple one, borrowed from Jack Welch. Our companies (or opportunites that we see) have to be #1 or #2 in their space and run by people taken seriously in their respect industry as thought leaders. There is nothing more painful than being the #5 player, trying to explain to your prospective customers why they should buy your product versus one from the other 4. Using this metric, we are seeing an increasing number of opportunities where there are leaders. Examples in our portfolio include: Stereotaxis (the only magnetically guided catheter system in the market), Feedburner (#1 feed manager and RSS ad network in the world), Imago (the #1 player in the 3D atomic probe space…machines that see atoms), Performics (one of the largest online marketing firms) and Cognitive Concepts (#1 auditory process software company…part of Houghton now). Outside our portfolio, you have OptionsExpress, 37 Signal, Univa (#1 grid computing services firm), Navteq, Motorola, etc.

We have the resurgence of Motorola just as wireless applications are exploding, the largest navigation company in the world (Navteq) as location based application are hot, the largest medical device hub in the world (companies representing nearly $80B in sales), one the deepest and best funded university research infrastructures in the world and the largest customer base both in terms of population and corporations. And, more importantly, we have more and more entrepreneurs that are leaders in their field and starting companies here.

 

I will write in the future about why we see venture capital as being so difficult here (and it is) and what the core challenges to things really taking off here are.

However, I’d highly encourage entrepreneurs and companies to stay put in the Midwest and other regions. The tides are changing. Quality guys & gals like Shannon who have headed to the coasts, the door is always open to come back and join the party, roll up your sleaves and make something happen here!

Online Blog Surveys

I’d like to see what readers think about different topics. I have not come across any products which allow you to insert simple (often boolean) surveys into the side rails of blogs. If anyone has come across a solution, please let me know.

TrustID: You Can Trust Us

Michael Arrington wrote a great piece in Techcrunch on one of the latest additions to our portfolio network, TrustID. Their newest service, IDFreeze, is targeted at protecting consumers from the growing issue of identity theft. I recently became a customer ($7.95/mo) and will report back on the experience.

As Michael writes:
"TrustedID launched their first product, IDFreeze
yesterday (and announed funding by Draper Fisher Jurveston) to help
protect consumers from identity theft. I met with co-founder Scott
Mitic today about his company.

Identity theft is a really big and really expensive problem. In the
U.S. alone, ten million people per year fall victim to identity thieves
– and sometimes it takes years to track down what’s happened, shut down
fake credit accounts in victims’ names and restore their credit and
name to good standing. Shredding mail and other personal documents is
not enough to protect yourself, either. Last year, over 50 million
consumer data records were lost by corporations. The FTC estimates that
identity theft costs our economy about $50 billion per year. For more
information on identity theft, see here."

The Angelitis Blues

Angelitis: I will write more on this topic in coming weeks, as it is a trap that entrepreneurs do not need to fall into. We recently had three different angel backed firms run into the same issue with us. We were forced to walk away from all three deals. They had priced their previous angel rounds too high, and did not want to go through a down round.

This situation is, unfortunately, increasing with frequency. I don’t know the exact reasons, but I have some suspicions. First, the cost of building out a platform has dropped significantly over the year. This enables entrepreneurs to get their offerings up and running and in customers hands for fairly small sums of capital (usually $500k-$1M). This is a good thing if structured appropriately. The second is that as the markets continue to flourish, angels are coming back into the market and are writing checks again.

However, the following pattern drives the issue. The company raises the first $500k at a $5M post-$. They grow and need more capital to ramp sales/marketing, so they raise the next $500k at a $10-15M post-$. At this point, the company is probably doing $1-3M in annual sales and growing linearly. The entrepreneur decides it is time to raise a venture round now, and goes to market with a $5M raise at $20M pre-$ valuation ($25M post-$). This is where the disconnect hits.

A company that is growing linearly (say $1-2m going to $3-5m this/next year in revenue) is going to be valued at a $3-7m pre-$ valuation. (I will write about different pricing approaches coming up.) The revenue often does not ramp as quickly as the entrepreneur expects (plans from two years ago had probably shown revenue of $10M vs. the actual $2M). Angels, being less price sensitive, had been willing to invest at the higher valuations. However, when the company needs more capital to scale (and is tired of living off of $500k rounds), it is forced to go to the professional venture community.

What should entrepreneurs do? The simplest answer is to use aconvertible debt structure. This avoids pricing the company too high or too low and also does not create unforeseen deal structure issues. The money converts into the professional round when raised.

Everyone loses when earlier rounds are mispriced. Venture capitalists lose the opportunity to invest in quality companies. Entrepreneurs end up running their business hand to mouth as they get trapped raising one $500k round after another.

Don’t Drink and Drive the Septic Truck

Brad Feld, one of my fellow board members at Feedburner, has written on occasion about his love/hate relationship with United. Tonight, Brad, I was thinking of you. After United made us wait for two hours due to "mechanical" difficulties, we lost our plane (and gained another 5 hours of layover in Salt Lake City) when the septic truck servicing the plan accidentally rammed the plane. The driver supposedly hit the plane perfectly along a seam of rivets, taking the plane out of service. I am only sorry I did not have my digital camera out to capture the SLC police giving the guy an alcohol test on the tarmac…